BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 3A Class Rank: 56 Conference: (4-10) Overall: (7-15) Overall Strength =   62.58

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/27/2012 Home    L    40.37  29  66   1A   8 (21- 3) Harris-Lake Park      -21.78    -15.22                      
  2 11/30/2012 Home    L    58.57  50  66   2A  20 (16- 7) Forest City            -3.58    -12.42                      
  3 12/01/2012 Away    W    78.58  55  30   1A  79 ( 8-14) Ruthven GTRA           16.43      8.57                      
  4 12/04/2012 Home    W *  61.31  46  42   2A  63 ( 5-17) Emmetsburg             -0.84      4.84                      
  5 12/07/2012 Home    L *  53.15  39  68   3A  20 (13- 9) Spencer                -9.00    -20.00                      
  6 12/10/2012 Away    W    57.87  65  46   2A  95 ( 4-19) North Union            -4.28     23.28                      
  7 12/11/2012 Away    L *  55.30  53  74   3A  37 (11-12) Storm Lake             -6.85    -14.15                      
  8 12/14/2012 Home    W *  57.67  64  58   2A  74 ( 1-21) Cherokee Washington    -4.48     10.48                      
  9 12/21/2012 Home    L *  66.37  47  51   2A  25 (16- 8) Spirit Lake             4.22     -8.22                      
 10 01/03/2013 Away    L    66.83  57  59   1A  31 (15- 9) Pocahontas Area         4.68     -6.68                      
 11 01/04/2013 Home    L *  65.96  55  77   3A  10 (16- 7) LeMars                  3.81 *  -25.81                      
 12 01/07/2013 Home    L    62.15  63  79   ZZ  40 ( 1- 0) Jackson County Centr    0.00    -16.00                      
 13 01/10/2013 Away    W    81.36  59  56   1A  10 (18- 6) Newell-Fonda           19.21    -16.21                      
 14 01/11/2013 Away    L *  65.43  55  85   2A   2 (21- 3) Western Christian       3.28 *  -33.28                      
 15 01/15/2013 Away    W *  66.14  54  48   2A  63 ( 5-17) Emmetsburg              4.00      2.00                      
 16 01/18/2013 Away    L *  65.98  32  51   3A  20 (13- 9) Spencer                 3.83    -22.83                      
 17 01/22/2013 Home    L *  65.47  42  50 1 3A  37 (11-12) Storm Lake              3.32    -11.32                      
 18 01/25/2013 Away    W *  65.50  61  50   2A  74 ( 1-21) Cherokee Washington     3.35      7.65                      
 19 01/29/2013 Away    L *  61.20  46  58   2A  25 (16- 8) Spirit Lake            -0.95    -11.05                      
 20 02/01/2013 Away    L *  58.79  49  81   3A  10 (16- 7) LeMars                 -3.35 *  -28.65                      
 21 02/05/2013 Home    L *  58.60  47  81   2A   2 (21- 3) Western Christian      -3.55 *  -30.45                      
 22 02/18/2013 Away    L    54.66  36  76   3A   2 (22- 5) MOC-Floyd Valley       -7.49 *  -32.51                      
      Averages              62.15  50.2 61.5

Best game:   81.36 = 3 point win over Newell-Fonda
Worst game:  40.37 = 37 point loss to Harris-Lake Park
Team stdev:   8.43